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May 22, 2005
Summer Movie Pool
For the past few years I've been participating in the Summer Movie Pool, a kind of movie box-office version of fantasy baseball in which a bunch of us - some film academics, some just fans - compete to predict the top ten grossing films of the summer.
In my very first year, I finished in the money, coming in third out of fifty or so entries. Since then, though, it's been downhill. Perhaps I've been losing touch as I become more ensconced in the ivory tower. So this year, I've decided to shake things up by submitting three entries representing three approaches to prognostication: one from my gut (the Malcolm Gladwell Blink approach - reflexive box office instincts), one from my heart (the fanboy approach - the movies I'm rooting for), and one from my brain (the James Surowiecki Wisdom of Crowds approach - the top-listed stocks on Hollywood Stock Exchange). My other organs will keep their opinions to themselves.
Below are the three entries. For more on the pool, check out the official website.
Ted's Gut:
1. Star Wars III
2. War of the Worlds
3. Batman Begins
4. Longest Yard
5. Madagascar
6. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
7. Island
8. Mr. and Mrs. Smith
9. Weding Crashers
10. Stealth
LS: Sisterhood of the Travelling Pants
LS: Hustle and Flow
LS: Dukes of Hazzard
Ted's Heart:
1. Batman Begins
2. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
3. Fantastic Four
4. Wedding Crashers
5. Bad News Bears
6. Brothers Grimm
7. Adventures of Shark Boy and Lava Girl
8. Sisterhood of the Travelling Pants
9. Hustle and Flow
10. Sky High
LS: Rize
LS: War of the Worlds
LS: Star Wars III
Ted's Brain:
1. Star Wars III
2. Batman Begins
3. War of the Worlds
4. Madagascar
5. Fantastic Four
6. Longest Yard
7. Island
8. Mr. and Mrs. Smith
9. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
10. The Wedding Crashers
LS: Dukes of Hazzard
LS: Stealth
LS: Monster-in-Law
Posted by tedf at May 22, 2005 03:41 PM
Comments
Well, no matter what your gut says, I think Star Wars might bring in a few bucks.
I went with two entries, not divided in any sort of schematic way; I just changed my mind on some of the movies and decided to see whether one-week-later me was smarter than one-week-earlier me.
GAVIN EDWARDS I
1. Madagascar
2. War of the Worlds
3. Star Wars: Revenge of the Sith
4. The Wedding Crashers
5. Batman Begins
6. Mr and Mrs Smith
7. The Longest Yard
8. Dukes of Hazzard
9. Cinderella Man
10. Dark Water
Dark horses:
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
Fantastic Four
Stealth
GAVIN EDWARDS II
1. Star Wars: Revenge of the Sith
2. Madagascar
3. War of the Worlds
4. Batman Begins
5. The Wedding Crashers
6. The Longest Yard
7. Stealth
8. Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
9. Bad News Bears
10. Mr and Mrs Smith
Dark horses:
Dark Water
Dukes of Hazzard
Cinderella Man
Posted by: Gavin at May 23, 2005 10:39 AM
Whoops, your heart, not your gut.
Did you notice that abbreviated, the movie title is Star Wars ROTS?
Posted by: Gavin at May 23, 2005 10:40 AM
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